Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torreense · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Torreense 0-0 Amarante, with an exact score probability of 15%.
Prediction record
Final result
Torreense 1-0 Amarante
Original prediction
Torreense
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 51.9% | 44.4% | -7.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.35 | 27.4% | 28.6% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 4.44 | 20.6% | 27.0% | 6.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.6 pts
Projected Score
Torreense 0–0 Amarante
Exact score probability: 15%
Predicted outcome
Torreense
Probability
44.4%
Model confidence
44.4%
Torreense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorreenseLLLWD
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AmaranteLLWDL
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
TorreenseAmarante
33.3Attack28.6
52.4Defence52.4
28.6Form23.8
40.1Power38.0
1.12xG0.85