Torreense U23vs
Sporting Braga U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 8/31/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sporting Braga U23 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torreense U23 1-1 Sporting Braga U23
Original prediction
Sporting Braga U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.14 | 42.0% | 35.1% | -6.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.4% | 27.9% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.6% | 37.0% | 6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sporting Braga U23
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Sporting Braga U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00