Torreense U23vs
Leixões U23
COMPLETEDPortugal · Liga Revelação U23 · 10/13/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torreense U23 · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torreense U23 1-3 Leixões U23
Original prediction
Torreense U23
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.81 | 49.9% | 37.4% | -12.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.2% | 28.4% | 4.2 pts |
| Away | 3.48 | 25.9% | 34.2% | 8.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–19%
- 3.1–29%
Predicted outcome
Torreense U23
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
37.4%
Torreense U23 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00