Torquayvs
Slough Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/10/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torquay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 3-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torquay 5-1 Slough Town
Original prediction
Torquay
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.29 | 70.8% | 54.7% | -16.1 pts |
| Draw | 5.45 | 16.7% | 24.1% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 7.32 | 12.5% | 21.3% | 8.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.29 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-16.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.3–010%
Predicted outcome
Torquay
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80