Torquayvs
Oxford City
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 10/17/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torquay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torquay 0-1 Oxford City
Original prediction
Torquay
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 20:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.07 | 44.1% | 41.4% | -2.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 25.2% | 25.6% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 2.97 | 30.7% | 33.0% | 2.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Torquay
Probability
41.4%
Model confidence
41.4%
Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorquayWWLWD
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Oxford CityWWDWW
GF 15 · GA 2 · avg 3.00/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TorquayOxford City
100.0Attack100.0
83.3Defence83.3
100.0Form100.0
91.8Power92.8
1.86xG1.59