Torquayvs
Maidstone Utd
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Maidstone Utd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torquay 1-1 Maidstone Utd
Original prediction
Maidstone Utd
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.93 | 47.0% | 33.7% | -13.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.67 | 24.8% | 28.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 3.22 | 28.2% | 38.2% | 9.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.67 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Maidstone Utd
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Maidstone Utd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40