GGOALVIO

England · National League - South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torquay · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Torquay 1-1 Hampton & Richmond

Original prediction

Torquay

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3766.2%52.4%-13.8 pts
Draw4.6519.5%24.4%4.9 pts
Away6.3314.3%23.3%8.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.65 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-13.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–011%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Torquay

Probability

52.4%

Model confidence

52.4%

Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TorquayLDWDW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Hampton & RichmondWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TorquayHampton & Richmond
25.0Attack41.7
66.7Defence0.0
41.7Form25.0
47.4Power25.3
1.65xG1.00
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