Torquayvs
AFC Stoneham
COMPLETEDEngland · FA Cup · 9/19/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torquay · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torquay 6-1 AFC Stoneham
Original prediction
Torquay
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 06:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.08 | 85.0% | 59.9% | -25.1 pts |
| Draw | 9.17 | 10.0% | 19.3% | 9.3 pts |
| Away | 18.33 | 5.0% | 20.8% | 15.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.08 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-25.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Torquay
Probability
59.9%
Model confidence
59.9%
Torquay has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorquayDWWLD
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC StonehamLWDWL
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
TorquayAFC Stoneham
88.9Attack100.0
77.8Defence0.0
66.7Form75.0
72.4Power57.7
2.80xG1.65