GGOALVIO

Belarus · Premier League · 4/1/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Zhodino · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Torpedo Zhodino are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Smorgon are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Zhodino hold a 20.8-point power-rating edge (55.5 v 34.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.0% in the Premier League, while Torpedo Zhodino holds the strongest overall chance at 73% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Zhodino

Probability

73.0%

Model confidence

73.0%

Torpedo Zhodino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo ZhodinoLWLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SmorgonDWDLL

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.40/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Torpedo ZhodinoSmorgon
47.9Attack35.7
70.8Defence31.0
47.9Form29.8
55.5Power34.6
2.25xG0.54
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