Torpedo Zhodinovs
Naftan
COMPLETEDBelarus · Premier League · 10/19/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Zhodino · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Zhodino 1-0 Naftan
Original prediction
Torpedo Zhodino
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.48 | 61.5% | 67.8% | 6.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.96 | 23.0% | 19.5% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 5.85 | 15.6% | 12.7% | -2.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.48 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Zhodino
Probability
67.8%
Model confidence
67.8%
Torpedo Zhodino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 11 · avg 0.40/2.20
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20