Torpedo Vladimirvs
Iskra Smolensk
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 2 · 9/20/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torpedo Vladimir · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Torpedo Vladimir 1-0 Iskra Smolensk, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Vladimir 0-1 Iskra Smolensk
Original prediction
Torpedo Vladimir
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.50 | 59.6% | 64.0% | 4.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.78 | 23.7% | 22.3% | -1.4 pts |
| Away | 5.38 | 16.7% | 13.7% | -3.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.4 pts
Projected Score
Torpedo Vladimir 1–0 Iskra Smolensk
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Torpedo Vladimir
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
64.0%
Torpedo Vladimir has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00