Torpedo Moskvavs
Makhachkala
COMPLETEDRussia · First League · 7/15/2023, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Torpedo Moskva are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Makhachkala are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Makhachkala hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.8% in the First League, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 18% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80