GGOALVIO

Russia · Cup · 8/26/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Miass · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Torpedo Miass 0-1 Volna Nizhegorodskaya

Original prediction

Torpedo Miass

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0943.3%39.9%-3.4 pts
Draw3.8223.7%27.1%3.4 pts
Away2.7533.0%33.1%0.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-3.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.2–19%
  3. 3.1–09%

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Miass

Probability

39.9%

Model confidence

39.9%

Torpedo Miass has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo MiassWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Volna NizhegorodskayaDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Torpedo MiassVolna Nizhegorodskaya
66.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence66.7
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power80.3
1.44xG1.23
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