GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/29/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Miass · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Torpedo Miass are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Ural II are 1W-2D-0L in their last 3 (DDW), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Miass hold a 34.0-point power-rating edge (73.1 v 39.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 83.5% in the Second League - Group 4, while Torpedo Miass holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Miass

Probability

83.5%

Model confidence

83.5%

Torpedo Miass has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo MiassWD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 2/2O2.5 1/2
Ural IIDDW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 0.67/0.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
Torpedo MiassUral II
68.8Attack51.7
75.0Defence31.7
75.0Form31.7
73.1Power39.2
3.34xG0.67
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