Torpedo Miassvs
Tyumen
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/26/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tyumen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 1-3 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torpedo Miass 2-0 Tyumen
Original prediction
Tyumen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 31.0% | 25.9% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.22 | 27.9% | 22.0% | -5.8 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.1% | 52.1% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.1–37%
Predicted outcome
Tyumen
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Tyumen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00
GF 16 · GA 6 · avg 3.20/1.20