GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Silver · 9/13/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Miass · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Torpedo Miass 3-1 Irtysh Omsk

Original prediction

Torpedo Miass

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9446.6%58.3%11.7 pts
Draw3.1628.6%22.4%-6.2 pts
Away3.6424.8%19.3%-5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.94 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

11.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–011%
  2. 2.1–110%
  3. 3.2–110%

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Miass

Probability

58.3%

Model confidence

58.3%

Torpedo Miass has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo MiassLWLWL

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Irtysh OmskLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 13 · avg 0.20/2.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Torpedo MiassIrtysh Omsk
47.6Attack19.0
42.9Defence19.0
28.6Form19.0
39.3Power22.3
2.19xG0.92
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