GGOALVIO

Georgia · Erovnuli Liga · 3/12/2023, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Torpedo Kutaisi · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Torpedo Kutaisi are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Gagra are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDLW), averaging 2.50 scored and 2.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Torpedo Kutaisi hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (56.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the Erovnuli Liga, while Torpedo Kutaisi holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Torpedo Kutaisi

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

Torpedo Kutaisi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Torpedo KutaisiWDDWL

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
GagraLDLW

GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.50/2.50

BTTS 3/4O2.5 3/4
Torpedo KutaisiGagra
50.9Attack43.5
65.7Defence39.8
55.6Form35.2
56.9Power40.1
2.07xG0.78
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