Toronto IIvs
New York City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toronto II 2-0 New York City II
Original prediction
New York City II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:52 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.7% | 31.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.63 | 24.9% | 19.9% | -5.0 pts |
| Away | 2.36 | 38.4% | 48.7% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
48.7%
Model confidence
48.7%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20