Toronto IIvs
New York City II
SCHEDULEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/28/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New York City II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto II are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while New York City II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and New York City II hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while New York City II holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
New York City II
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
9.1%
New York City II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40