Toronto IIvs
New England II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
New England II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toronto II 1-3 New England II
Original prediction
New England II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.96 | 30.4% | 36.0% | 5.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.80 | 23.7% | 20.5% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 1.96 | 45.9% | 43.4% | -2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.96 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-2.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
New England II
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
New England II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60