Toronto IIvs
FC Cincinnati II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 9/4/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toronto II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Toronto II 2-1 FC Cincinnati II
Original prediction
Toronto II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:13 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.76 | 51.5% | 64.3% | 12.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.0% | 17.5% | -6.5 pts |
| Away | 3.69 | 24.5% | 18.2% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.76 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Toronto II
Probability
64.3%
Model confidence
64.3%
Toronto II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80