MLS Next ProMLS Next Pro
Friday, 17 July 2026Last updated 10:13
Toronto II

Toronto II

Home
WL
31
Full time
FC Cincinnati II

FC Cincinnati II

Away
L
York Lions Stadium
GoalVio prediction
68% confidence
Draw(20%)
Most likely exact score1-1
Prediction missed— Result: Toronto II
Win probability
Toronto II
68%
Draw
20%
FC Cincinnati II
12%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Toronto II
54
FC Cincinnati II
34
Defence
Toronto II
66
FC Cincinnati II
6
Momentum
Toronto II
50
FC Cincinnati II
0
Danger (xG)
Toronto II
1.35
FC Cincinnati II
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Toronto II)
1.35
avg per match
xG for (FC Cincinnati II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Toronto II)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (FC Cincinnati II)
2.70
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Toronto IIToronto II
WLLD
FC Cincinnati IIFC Cincinnati II
LWLL

Probability breakdown

68% confidence
Toronto II68%
Draw20%
FC Cincinnati II12%

Toronto II leads with 68% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Toronto II head into this in MLS Next Pro fixture at York Lions Stadium in mixed form (WL), while FC Cincinnati II arrive in mixed form (L). Toronto II have a 50% win rate across their last 2 matches, compared to 0% for FC Cincinnati II over 1 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Toronto II's decent attack (54/100) faces a vulnerable FC Cincinnati II defence (6/100), while FC Cincinnati II's attack is up against a solid Toronto II backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Toronto II's favour.

Toronto II have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per game at home. FC Cincinnati II have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 3 away matches. They average 0.3 goals scored and 3.7 conceded per away game.

Toronto II have the upper hand in recent meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 4.0 goals per game, both teams scored in 1 of those fixtures.

The GoalVio engine projects a draw with 68% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-1. Win probabilities: Toronto II 6806%, Draw 1982%, FC Cincinnati II 1211%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Toronto II 1Draws 00 FC Cincinnati II
Avg goals: 4.0BTTS in 1/1
18 Jul 2026
Toronto II
W31
FC Cincinnati II

Recent form

Toronto II

Toronto II

W
vs FC Cincinnati II
18 Jul 2026
31
L
@ Atlanta United II
5 Jul 2026
01
L
vs New England II
28 Jun 2026
13
D
@ Connecticut FC
16 May 2026
00
FC Cincinnati II

FC Cincinnati II

L
@ Toronto II
18 Jul 2026
13
W
vs Inter Miami II
28 Jun 2026
10
L
@ Connecticut FC
19 Jun 2026
04
L
@ Huntsville City
14 May 2026
04

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 68% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-1.

Will both teams score in Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Toronto II vs FC Cincinnati II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more