Toronto IIvs
Connecticut FC
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 6/14/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Connecticut FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Toronto II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Connecticut FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Connecticut FC hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (45.7 v 52.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the MLS Next Pro, while Connecticut FC holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Connecticut FC
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
7.5%
Connecticut FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40