GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/2/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Toronto FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes hold a 17.2-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 58.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.2% in the Major League Soccer, while San Jose Earthquakes holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes

Probability

56.2%

Model confidence

56.2%

San Jose Earthquakes has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCLDDDW

GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
San Jose EarthquakesWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 5 · avg 3.60/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto FCSan Jose Earthquakes
44.4Attack66.7
40.7Defence52.6
31.5Form57.9
41.8Power58.9
1.29xG2.31
View match centre →