Toronto FCvs
Polessya
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 2/14/2026, 9:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Polessya · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Polessya are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 3.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Polessya hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 61.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Polessya holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Polessya
Probability
46.4%
Model confidence
46.4%
Polessya has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 19 · GA 7 · avg 3.80/1.40