Toronto FCvs
Philadelphia Union
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/22/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toronto FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Philadelphia Union are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 41.8 against 40.9. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the Major League Soccer, while Toronto FC holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toronto FC
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
40.8%
Toronto FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60