GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 5/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Inter Miami · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Lowconfidence

Toronto FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Inter Miami are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Inter Miami hold a 24.8-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 66.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Inter Miami holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Inter Miami

Probability

62.3%

Model confidence

8.1%

Inter Miami has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCLDLDD

GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Inter MiamiLDWWD

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCInter Miami
44.4Attack83.3
40.7Defence40.7
31.5Form70.4
41.8Power66.6
1.58xG2.94
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