Toronto FCvsIncheon United

Toronto FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WLDDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Incheon United are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Toronto FC hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 19.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Toronto FC holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.