GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 2/11/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Fredrikstad · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toronto FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Fredrikstad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Fredrikstad hold a 29.2-point power-rating edge (25.7 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fredrikstad holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Fredrikstad

Probability

44.6%

Model confidence

44.6%

Fredrikstad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCDWWWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FredrikstadWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCFredrikstad
33.3Attack44.4
25.0Defence66.7
8.3Form50.0
25.7Power54.9
0.91xG1.69
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