GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/11/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Cincinnati · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Toronto FC are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Cincinnati are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Cincinnati hold a 9.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 50.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.2% in the Major League Soccer, while FC Cincinnati holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Cincinnati

Probability

46.2%

Model confidence

46.2%

FC Cincinnati has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCWWDWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
FC CincinnatiLWLLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCFC Cincinnati
44.4Attack83.3
40.7Defence18.5
31.5Form48.1
41.8Power50.9
2.28xG2.80
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