GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colorado Rapids · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Toronto FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Colorado Rapids are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colorado Rapids hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 50.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Major League Soccer, while Colorado Rapids holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colorado Rapids

Probability

45.2%

Model confidence

45.2%

Colorado Rapids has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCWDWLL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Colorado RapidsWLWWL

GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto FCColorado Rapids
44.4Attack50.9
40.7Defence56.1
31.5Form43.9
41.8Power50.7
1.23xG1.71
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