Toronto FCvs
Charlotte
SCHEDULEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Charlotte · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Charlotte are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte hold an 8.9-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 50.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Charlotte holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Charlotte
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
11.4%
Charlotte has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80