GGOALVIO

Canada · Canadian Championship · 5/9/2023, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

CF Montreal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Toronto FC are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while CF Montreal are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and CF Montreal hold a 75.3-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 90.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.7% in the Canadian Championship, while CF Montreal holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

CF Montreal

Probability

55.7%

Model confidence

55.7%

CF Montreal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto FCLWLDD

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
CF MontrealWWWWL

GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 0/5
Toronto FCCF Montreal
33.3Attack100.0
0.0Defence77.8
0.0Form100.0
15.3Power90.7
1.24xG2.22
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