Toronto FCvs
Atlanta United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 4/25/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Toronto FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Toronto FC are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlanta United FC are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Toronto FC hold a 7.1-point power-rating edge (41.8 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.1% in the Major League Soccer, while Toronto FC holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Toronto FC
Probability
51.6%
Model confidence
12.1%
Toronto FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60