GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/22/2025, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Thornton Redbacks · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2

Highconfidence

Toronto Awaba Stags are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Thornton Redbacks are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Thornton Redbacks hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 39.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the NNSW League 1, while Thornton Redbacks holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Thornton Redbacks

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Thornton Redbacks has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto Awaba StagsWWWWW

GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Thornton RedbacksWLWLL

GF 10 · GA 11 · avg 2.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto Awaba StagsThornton Redbacks
42.6Attack52.2
20.4Defence26.1
25.9Form36.2
32.3Power39.1
2.06xG2.42
View match centre →