GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 6/6/2025, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Lake Macquarie · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4

Highconfidence

Toronto Awaba Stags are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Lake Macquarie are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Lake Macquarie hold a 41.3-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 73.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.0% in the NNSW League 1, while Lake Macquarie holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 88% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Lake Macquarie

Probability

84.0%

Model confidence

84.0%

Lake Macquarie has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto Awaba StagsWWWWL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Lake MacquarieWWWLW

GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
Toronto Awaba StagsLake Macquarie
42.6Attack100.0
20.4Defence55.6
25.9Form75.9
32.3Power73.6
1.12xG4.50
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