GGOALVIO

Australia · NNSW League 1 · 7/20/2024, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Belmont Swansea · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-4

Highconfidence

Toronto Awaba Stags are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Belmont Swansea are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Belmont Swansea hold a 45.5-point power-rating edge (32.3 v 77.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 88.9% in the NNSW League 1, while Belmont Swansea holds the strongest overall chance at 89% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Belmont Swansea

Probability

88.9%

Model confidence

88.9%

Belmont Swansea has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Toronto Awaba StagsLLDWW

GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Belmont SwanseaWWLWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Toronto Awaba StagsBelmont Swansea
42.6Attack100.0
20.4Defence68.1
25.9Form77.8
32.3Power77.9
0.80xG4.50
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