Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (9%), 1-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torns 1-2 Räppe
Original prediction
Torns
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.95 | 46.8% | 52.3% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.77 | 24.1% | 19.8% | -4.3 pts |
| Away | 3.13 | 29.1% | 27.9% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–19%
- 2.1–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Torns
Probability
52.3%
Model confidence
52.3%
Torns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TornsWLLLL
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
RäppeLLLDL
GF 6 · GA 19 · avg 1.20/3.80
BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
TornsRäppe
46.0Attack34.9
9.5Defence22.2
33.3Form22.2
32.5Power28.9
2.39xG1.67