Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torns · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Torns are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Karlshamn are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Torns hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (34.1 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Torns holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Torns
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
8.6%
Torns has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40