Tornsvs
IFK Trelleborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Södra Götaland · 8/28/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Trelleborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-3 (11%), 0-2 (10%), 0-4 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torns 1-2 IFK Trelleborg
Original prediction
IFK Trelleborg
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.02 | 22.5% | 9.9% | -12.6 pts |
| Draw | 4.00 | 22.6% | 13.2% | -9.4 pts |
| Away | 1.65 | 54.9% | 76.9% | 22.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.65 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
22.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–311%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.0–49%
Predicted outcome
IFK Trelleborg
Probability
76.9%
Model confidence
76.9%
IFK Trelleborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
GF 15 · GA 4 · avg 3.00/0.80