Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Berga · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3
Torns are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Berga are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Berga hold a 25.6-point power-rating edge (34.7 v 60.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Berga holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Berga
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
9.2%
Berga has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 16 · avg 1.00/3.20
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00