Tornado Pekanbaruvs
Barito Putera
COMPLETEDIndonesia · Liga 2 · 9/26/2026, 8:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tornado Pekanbaru · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tornado Pekanbaru 2-2 Barito Putera
Original prediction
Tornado Pekanbaru
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 10:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.16 | 41.0% | 51.5% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.07 | 28.8% | 25.5% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 2.94 | 30.1% | 23.0% | -7.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.07 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Tornado Pekanbaru
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Tornado Pekanbaru has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 1 · avg 1.60/0.20
GF 17 · GA 12 · avg 3.40/2.40