GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 5/25/2024, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tormenta · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tormenta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Richmond Kickers are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tormenta hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (35.1 v 28.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the USL League One Cup, while Tormenta holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tormenta

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

Tormenta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TormentaWLLDL

GF 9 · GA 11 · avg 1.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Richmond KickersLLDDL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
TormentaRichmond Kickers
33.3Attack25.0
45.8Defence25.0
16.7Form25.0
35.1Power28.9
1.40xG1.15
View match centre →