GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/1/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Colorado · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tormenta are 1W-0D-3L in their last 4 (LWLL), averaging 0.75 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Northern Colorado are 0W-1D-0L in their last 1 (D), averaging 0.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Colorado hold a 14.3-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 63.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.6% in the USL League One, while Northern Colorado holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Colorado

Probability

49.6%

Model confidence

49.6%

Northern Colorado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TormentaLWLL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.75/1.75

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Northern ColoradoD

GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
TormentaNorthern Colorado
57.3Attack62.7
41.7Defence59.8
43.8Form63.7
48.7Power63.0
1.42xG2.10
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