GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 4/8/2023, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tormenta · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tormenta are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Greenville Triumph are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Tormenta hold an 8.7-point power-rating edge (48.7 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.9% in the USL League One, while Tormenta holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tormenta

Probability

55.9%

Model confidence

55.9%

Tormenta has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TormentaLLWLL

GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Greenville TriumphL

GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
TormentaGreenville Triumph
57.3Attack36.8
41.7Defence43.9
43.8Form33.3
48.7Power40.1
2.13xG1.15
View match centre →