GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One Cup · 4/27/2024, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Charlotte Independence · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Tormenta are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Charlotte Independence are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Charlotte Independence hold a 19.1-point power-rating edge (35.1 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.8% in the USL League One Cup, while Charlotte Independence holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Charlotte Independence

Probability

41.8%

Model confidence

41.8%

Charlotte Independence has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

TormentaLWLWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Charlotte IndependenceDWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
TormentaCharlotte Independence
33.3Attack53.3
45.8Defence46.7
16.7Form53.3
35.1Power54.1
1.12xG1.59
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