Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Torino · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Torino 0-1 Monza
Original prediction
Torino
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 53.8% | 40.4% | -13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.53 | 26.6% | 27.6% | 1.0 pts |
| Away | 4.78 | 19.6% | 32.0% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Torino
Probability
40.4%
Model confidence
40.4%
Torino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TorinoLLWDW
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
MonzaLLWDL
GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
TorinoMonza
33.3Attack100.0
100.0Defence100.0
100.0Form100.0
80.3Power97.0
1.40xG1.41