Tordvs
Stenungsund
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 9/27/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stenungsund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tord 1-5 Stenungsund
Original prediction
Stenungsund
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 05:19 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.02 | 44.7% | 31.0% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.59 | 25.2% | 26.1% | 0.9 pts |
| Away | 3.00 | 30.1% | 43.0% | 12.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Stenungsund
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Stenungsund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00