Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Husqvarna · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (13%), 0-4 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tord 1-3 Husqvarna
Original prediction
Husqvarna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:15 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.73 | 19.0% | 8.6% | -10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.0% | 14.4% | -9.6 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.0% | 77.0% | 20.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.58 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–313%
- 3.0–410%
Predicted outcome
Husqvarna
Probability
77.0%
Model confidence
77.0%
Husqvarna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TordWLDLW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HusqvarnaWLWWW
GF 11 · GA 11 · avg 2.20/2.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
TordHusqvarna
38.6Attack82.5
43.9Defence75.4
26.3Form89.5
38.6Power82.8
0.61xG2.91