Tordvs
Grebbestad
COMPLETEDSweden · Division 2 - Norra Götaland · 10/10/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Grebbestad · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tord 1-1 Grebbestad
Original prediction
Grebbestad
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 16:06 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.17 | 41.7% | 29.8% | -11.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.4% | 24.1% | -0.3 pts |
| Away | 2.67 | 33.9% | 46.1% | 12.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.70 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Grebbestad
Probability
46.1%
Model confidence
46.1%
Grebbestad has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40