Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tondela · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (12%), 2-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Tondela 2-1 Amarante
Original prediction
Tondela
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 August 2026 at 01:17 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.2–010%
Predicted outcome
Tondela
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Tondela has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
TondelaLDLLW
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
AmaranteLLWWD
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
TondelaAmarante
45.1Attack33.3
57.8Defence33.3
48.0Form0.0
52.3Power23.7
1.52xG0.93